Market Potential Index (MPI) for Emerging Markets - 2013

April 5, 2013

Global marketing is becoming more and more important along the years with the increasing trend in internationalization. Having too many choices, marketers face the challenge of determining which international markets to enter and the appropriate marketing strategies for those countries.

The focus of this study is ranking the market potential of countries identified as "Emerging Markets" by The Economist magazine. These emerging economies comprise more than half of the world's population, account for a large share of world output, and have very high growth rates; all indicators of enormous market potential.

This indexing study is conducted by MSU-IBC to help companies compare the Emerging Markets with each other on several dimensions. Eight dimensions are chosen to represent the market potential of a country over a scale of 1 to 100. Each dimension is measured using various indicators, and are weighted in determining their contribution to the Overall Market Potential Index.

Notes:
  1. The most recent version of the Market Potential Index can always be found on globalEDGE at: http://globalEDGE.msu.edu/mpi/
  2. The report for previous years can be reached through the Market Potential Index (MPI) Archive table on the right column.
  3. To sort by any dimension, click on the name of the dimension.

View MPI Table

View MPI Table

Market Potential Index (MPI) for Emerging Markets - 2013

Overall Rank Country Market Size Market Growth Rate Market Intensity Market Consumption Capacity Commercial Infrastructure Economic Freedom Market Receptivity Country Risk Overall Score
1 Singapore 1 86 74 66 80 83 97 100 62
2 Hong Kong 1 44 100 58 100 90 100 92 61
3 China 100 100 1 70 39 8 4 54 56
4 South Korea 9 40 56 100 87 82 18 65 49
5 Israel 1 39 65 79 70 78 22 66 43
6 Czech Republic 1 11 45 95 88 88 16 71 43
7 Poland 3 33 55 82 72 81 8 63 41
8 Turkey 6 73 65 79 52 53 5 49 41
9 India 37 74 28 78 22 52 3 42 41
10 Chile 1 40 48 35 60 100 15 79 38
11 Hungary 1 1 58 88 77 78 20 37 37
12 Malaysia 3 60 29 58 63 52 21 61 37
13 Russia 19 45 36 68 73 17 4 43 36
14 Peru 2 76 40 56 40 70 6 50 35
15 Mexico 9 31 53 49 47 63 21 53 35
16 Indonesia 10 68 28 77 32 54 3 39 34
17 Brazil 18 36 42 37 56 60 1 55 34
18 Argentina 4 68 49 67 60 45 4 11 33
19 Saudi Arabia 4 68 15 0 56 15 14 67 32
20 Thailand 3 19 31 66 47 49 17 48 30
21 Egypt 4 33 58 83 47 27 4 10 30
22 Colombia 3 44 42 31 45 62 4 52 29
23 Philippines 4 24 52 58 31 51 5 37 28
24 Pakistan 5 37 66 83 1 32 1 1 25
25 Venezuela 3 40 36 67 44 1 8 10 24
26 South Africa 5 29 40 1 25 66 5 50 22

View Year to Year Comparison

View MPI Year to Year Comparison

Year to Year Comparison

Country 2013 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1998 1997 1996
Singapore 1 1 3 1 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
Hong Kong 2 2 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 3 2 2 4 2
China 3 3 2 2 2 1 3 4 5 5 5 6 5 2 3
South Korea 4 4 4 4 5 6 4 3 3 3 2 10 3 9 5
Israel 5 7 7 6 9 5 5 5 4 4 8 4 4 5 4
Czech Republic 6 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 19
Poland 7 8 6 7 10 10 8 9 8 8 9 9 12 6 13
Turkey 8 10 10 12 13 11 15 15 14 14 20 17 18 19 18
India 9 6 9 11 11 9 9 8 9 10 11 8 10 10 10
Chile 10 15 15 13 15 16 14 10 11 9 16 13 14 11 14
Hungary 11 9 8 8 7 8 6 6 6 6 10 11 11 16 15
Malaysia 12 14 14 10 14 12 13 14 13 17 15 16 8 13 7
Russia 13 19 21 9 12 13 11 12 15 13 19 19 19 21 23
Peru 14 16 20 21 25 25 17 21 18 18
Mexico 15 12 13 14 8 14 10 11 10 11 14 15 22 14 9
Indonesia 16 17 12 22 19 21 19 17 16 22 21 23 16 17 21
Brazil 17 11 11 16 23 23 18 20 17 16 18 21 20 22 20
Argentina 18 13 19 18 17 17 21 19 23 15 13 14 17 3 12
Saudi Arabia 19 21 17 15 20 18
Thailand 20 18 18 19 16 15 12 13 12 12 12 18 13 15 8
Egypt 21 20 16 17 21 19 16 16 19 21
Colombia 22 23 25 26 26 27 24 23 24 24
Philippines 23 22 23 23 18 22 20 18 20 19 17 12 15 18 22
Pakistan 24 24 22 20 24 20
Venezuela 25 25 26 24 27 26 23 24 22 23 23 20 23 20 16
South Africa 26 26 24 25 22 24 22 22 21 20 22 22 21 23 17

Dimensions and Measures of Market Potential for 2013

Dimension Weight Measures Used
Market Size 10/50
  • Urban population (million) -20111
  • Electricity consumption (billion kwh) - 20102
Market Growth Rate 6/50
  • Average annual growth rate of primary energy use (%) - between years 2006-20112
  • Real GDP growth rate (%) - 20111
Market Intensity 7/50
  • GNI per capita estimates using PPP (US Dollars) - 20111
  • Private consumption as a percentage of GDP (%) - 20111
Market Consumption Capacity 5/50
  • Percentage share of middle-class in consumption/income (2010)1
Commercial Infrastructure 7/50
  • Main Telephone lines (per 100 habitants) - 20113
  • Cellular mobile subscribers (per 100 habitants) - 20113
  • Number of PC's (per 1000 habitants) - 20124
  • Paved road density (km per million people) - 20124
  • Internet users (per 100 habitants) - 20113
  • Population per retail outlet - 20124
  • Percentage of Households with TV - 20124
Economic Freedom 5/50
  • Economic Freedom Index - 20135
  • Political Freedom Index - 20126
Market Receptivity 6/50
  • Per capita imports from US (US Dollars) - 20127
  • Trade as a percentage of GDP (%) - 20111
Country Risk 4/50
  • Country risk rating - 20128
Data used are those available for most recent year. All sources were accessed in April 2013.

For More Information:

For the indexing methodology, please refer to:

"Measuring The Potential of Emerging Markets: An Indexing Approach" - S.Tamer Cavusgil,
Business Horizons, January-February 1997, Vol. 40 Number 1, 87-91: doi.

"Complementary Approaches to Preliminary Foreign Market Opportunity Assessment: Country Clustering and Country Ranking" - S. Tamer Cavusgil, Tunga Kiyak, and Sengun Yeniyurt
Industrial Marketing Management, October 2004, Volume 33, Issue 7, 607-617: doi.

For additional inquiries, please contact MSU-IBC.

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