Market Potential Index (MPI) for Emerging Markets - 1996

March 15, 1995

You are currently viewing an old version of the Market Potential Index (MPI).

Global marketing is becoming more and more important along the years with the increasing trend in internationalization. Having too many choices, marketers face the challenge of determining which international markets to enter and the appropriate marketing strategies for those countries.

The focus of this study is ranking the market potential of countries identified as "Emerging Markets" by The Economist magazine. These emerging economies comprise more than half of the world's population, account for a large share of world output, and have very high growth rates; all indicators of enormous market potential.

This indexing study is conducted by MSU-IBC to help companies compare the Emerging Markets with each other on several dimensions. Eight dimensions are chosen to represent the market potential of a country over a scale of 1 to 100. Each dimension is measured using various indicators, and are weighted in determining their contribution to the Overall Market Potential Index.

Notes:
  1. The most recent version of the Market Potential Index can always be found on globalEDGE at: http://globalEDGE.msu.edu/mpi/
  2. The report for previous years can be reached through the Market Potential Index (MPI) Archive table on the right column.
  3. To sort by any dimension, click on the name of the dimension.

View MPI Table

View MPI Table

Market Potential Index (MPI) for Emerging Markets - 1996

Overall Rank Country Market Size Market Growth Rate Market Intensity Market Consumption Capacity Commercial Infrastructure Economic Freedom Market Receptivity Country Risk Overall Score
1 Singapore 1 51 85 64 65 100 100 100
2 Hong Kong 1 51 100 71 60 100 54 83
3 China 100 100 4 88 14 1 11 69
4 Israel 1 63 87 98 63 28 27 63
5 South Korea 4 59 43 82 53 65 43 60
6 Greece 2 41 52 100 40 33 53
7 Malaysia 2 81 29 46 31 65 42 52
8 Thailand 6 70 20 53 26 59 54 51
9 Mexico 8 53 29 39 27 30 46 37
10 India 76 51 1 80 4 5 11 37
11 Portugal 2 999 51 50 40 12 36
12 Argentina 4 72 24 54 38 9 35
13 Poland 4 64 17 100 27 22 24 35
14 Chile 2 71 30 12 25 51 33 34
15 Hungary 2 56 27 100 42 40 1 30
16 Venezuela 2 62 33 63 54 32 1 29
17 South Africa 4 52 27 38 32 17 27
18 Turkey 6 57 19 17 32 25 26
19 Czech Republic 2 30 27 24 67 26 25
20 Brazil 14 71 23 1 16 20 21 23
21 Indonesia 16 999 7 77 10 18 16 19
22 Philippines 6 42 7 63 1 20 25 13
23 Russia 13 1 26 17 18 1

View Year to Year Comparison

View MPI Year to Year Comparison

Year to Year Comparison (Some of the countries don't have ranking before 2014 because those countries were added to MPI in 2014)

Country 2014 2013 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1998 1997 1996
China 1 3 3 2 2 2 1 3 4 5 5 5 6 5 2 3
Hong Kong 2 2 2 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 3 2 2 4 2
Japan 3
Canada 4
Singapore 5 1 1 3 1 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
Germany 6
India 7 9 6 8 11 11 9 9 8 9 10 11 8 10 10 10
Switzerland 8
United Kingdom 9
South Korea 10 4 4 4 4 5 6 4 3 3 3 2 10 3 9 5
France 11
Australia 12
United Arab Emirates 13
Norway 14
Russia 15 13 19 21 9 12 13 11 12 15 13 19 19 19 21 23
Austria 16
Netherlands 17
Belgium 18
Sweden 19
Brazil 20 17 11 11 16 23 23 18 20 17 16 18 21 20 22 20
New Zealand 21
Denmark 22
Ireland 23
Italy 24
Mexico 25 15 12 12 14 8 14 10 11 10 11 14 15 22 14 9
Finland 26
Qatar 27
Poland 28 7 8 6 7 10 10 8 9 8 8 9 9 12 6 13
Latvia 29
Israel 30 5 7 7 6 9 5 5 5 4 4 8 4 4 5 4
Spain 31
Chile 32 10 15 13 13 15 16 14 10 11 9 16 13 14 11 14
Slovakia 33
Lithuania 34
Malaysia 35 12 14 15 10 14 12 13 14 13 17 15 16 8 13 7
Turkey 36 8 10 10 12 13 11 15 15 14 14 20 17 18 19 18
Saudi Arabia 37 19 21 17 15 20 18
Slovenia 38
Indonesia 39 16 17 14 22 19 21 19 17 16 22 21 23 16 17 21
Czech Republic 40 6 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 19
Kuwait 41
Uruguay 42
Bulgaria 43
Romania 44
Thailand 45 20 18 18 19 16 15 12 13 12 12 12 18 13 15 8
Hungary 46 11 9 9 8 7 8 6 6 6 6 10 11 11 16 15
Philippines 47 23 22 26 23 18 22 20 18 20 19 17 12 15 18 22
Costa Rica 48
Oman 49
Vietnam 50
Peru 51 14 16 20 21 25 25 17 21 18 18
El Salvador 52
Bangladesh 53
Serbia 54
Bahrain 55
Estonia 56
Tunisia 57
Croatia 58
Argentina 59 18 13 19 18 17 17 21 19 23 15 13 14 17 3 12
Portugal 60 4 3 6 12 11
Morocco 61
Egypt 62 21 20 16 17 21 19 16 16 19 21
Kazakhstan 63
Dominican Republic 64
Cyprus 65
Pakistan 66 24 24 23 20 24 20
Colombia 67 22 23 24 26 26 27 24 23 24 24
Nicaragua 68
Ukraine 69
South Africa 70 26 26 22 25 22 24 22 22 21 20 22 22 21 23 17
Sri Lanka 71
Greece 72 6 5 9 8 6
Cambodia 73
Ecuador 74
Belarus 75
Guatemala 76
Venezuela 77 25 25 25 24 27 26 23 24 22 23 23 20 23 20 16
Honduras 78
Algeria 79
Paraguay 80
Iraq 81
Azerbaijan 82
Uzbekistan 83
Papua New Guinea 84
Nigeria 85
Burma 86
Cuba 87

Dimensions and Measures of Market Potential for 1996

Dimension Weight Measures Used
Market Size 4/20
  • Total Population1
Market Growth Rate 3/20
  • Average annual growth rate of industry2
Market Intensity 3/20
  • Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) estimates of GNP per capita (50% weight)1
  • Private consumption expenditure per capita (50% weight)3
Market Consumption Capacity 2/20
  • Size of middle class (the percentage of the population that has 20-80% of the income or consumption)1
Commercial Infrastructure 2/20
  • Telephone mainlines per capita (20% weight)1
  • Paved road density (20% weight)1
  • Trucks and buses per capita (20% weight)3
  • Population per retail outlet (20% weight)4
  • Percentages of homes with color TV (20% weight)4
Economic Freedom 2/20
  • Economic Freedom Index developed by Johnson and Sheehy for the Heritage Foundation. It incorporates trade policy, taxation policy, government consumption of economic output, monetary policy, capital flows and foreign investment, banking policy, wage and price controls, property rights, regulation policy, and black market comparisons of the countries into one aggregate index ranging from 1 to 5, 1 being the most free, and 5 the least.5
Market Receptivity 4/20
  • Average annual growth rate of imports from USA over the past five years (60% weight)3
  • Per capita imports from USA (40% weight)3
Data used are those available for most recent year.
  • 1 Source: World Bank, World Development Report
  • 2 Source: National Trade Data Bank, U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration
  • 3 Source: Business International, July 1992, pp. 205-216
  • 4 Source: Euromonitor, International Marketing Data and Statistics, London, 1994
  • 5 Source: Johnson, B. T. and T. Sheehy, The Index of Economic Freedom, The Heritage Foundation, 1995

For More Information:

For the indexing methodology, please refer to:

"Measuring The Potential of Emerging Markets: An Indexing Approach" - S.Tamer Cavusgil,
Business Horizons, January-February 1997, Vol. 40 Number 1, 87-91: doi .

" Complementary Approaches to Preliminary Foreign Market Opportunity Assessment: Country Clustering and Country Ranking " - S. Tamer Cavusgil, Tunga Kiyak, and Sengun Yeniyurt
Industrial Marketing Management, October 2004, Volume 33, Issue 7, 607-617: doi .

For additional inquiries, please contact MSU-IBC.

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