globalEDGE Blog - By Tag: frontier-markets

In the third installment of the long-term mega trends blog series from globalEDGE we will examine urbanization and its implications for economic growth. Urbanization is taking place across the globe from the developed nations of North America & Western Europe, to some of the poorest places on Earth, including Sub-Saharan Africa and Southern Asia. Each region of the world is urbanizing at different paces and are creating different degrees of economic growth as a result of urbanization. In this blog we will examine how the world is urbanizing and the differences in urban population growth rate/population percentage throughout the world.

A major alliance between two ascending regions of the world has been bubbling under the surface of public awareness for years. This alliance is of the economic variety, and has the potential to reshape the socioeconomic and political future of our world. The size of China’s investment in Africa is truly massive; or is it? As many may not know, China has been in the news for its lending and investing activities in Africa over the recent years. According to new research and investigation, however, the scope and hype of the Chinese activity in Africa may be over-exaggerated.

There are many risks associated with frontier markets, but there may be even more reward for investors.  Compared to the popular emerging markets, frontier markets are even higher on the risk-reward scale. It is a smart move for investors now to make a move to invest some of what is already invested in emerging market into frontier markets, generating more diversification for their portfolio and to generate higher growth potential.

There are several factors that differentiate an emerging market from a frontier market. These factors can vary from liquidity in the markets, to risk intensity, to return on investments in the future.

The globalEDGE team has added another new section to its recent developments. The Insights by Economic Classification section has now been published and can be accessed via the Global Insights menu! Currently the new section has two groups of countries defined: emerging markets and frontier markets. This new section highlights where the emerging and frontier markets stand in comparison to the least and most developed markets in the world. Furthermore, the statistics page of the new section provides information on a selection of indicators, which visually helps to compare group countries with one another. A risk comparator is also available, where two group countries’ economies and credit risk assessments can be compared. The new section also lists resources related to emerging and frontier markets. Make sure to check out our new section today!

Saudi Arabia has set a date for the opening of its stock market to foreign investors. The nation’s Capital Market Authority recently announced that the country’s only stock exchange, Tadawul, will allow direct international purchases of its market shares starting June 15 of this year.

Recent tremors in emerging markets have investors worried about whether or not their money is in the right place. There is a riskier alternative for investors, that being investment in frontier markets. Frontier markets are markets that are neither developed nor emerging, and with this definition, frontier markets include twenty-three of the twenty-five fastest-growing economies over the last ten years. However, most of these countries do not have stock markets nor are they listed in the MSCI frontier market index, and this is due to the countries' stocks being unable to meet size qualifications and accessibility standards.

So how exactly to you advance from a frontier market to an emerging market? Some people classify frontier markets as a subset of emerging markets, but there is a clear distinction. We’ve talked in previous posts about systematic risk and political instability as huge factors to impeding growth. Once a country can overcome many of these risks, and grow a more stable infrastructure, it is well on its way to becoming a developed economy.

As globalEDGE has discussed in the previous posts for this month’s blog series, not only are frontier markets growing extremely fast, they also have a lot of systematic risks. These risks can range from extremely prohibitive government regulations to a communist run government that feels it’s appropriate to expropriate private assets when it deems necessary. To transition to a stable growing economy these countries must remove these risks and increase its population’s education and consumption. These will create sustainable investment opportunities and the increase in consumer spending will continue to fuel economic growth.

There has been a debate going on for many years, the true value of investing in frontier markets. The results of investing in frontier markets seem inherently leveraged when compared to the results of investing in the more steady paced developed markets. While people with safety as the forefront of their current investment philosophy may not have any desire to invest in these markets, the intelligent investor with the time and knowledge to invest for the long run can benefit greatly from investing in the frontier. I believe that right now is a good time to put money down for the long run in these growing markets.

With all of the talk about how frontier markets are growing so rapidly and returning investors very handsomely, it can be easy to forget about the negative side of these markets. When people hear that they can make a 159% return on their money in 12 months (as Sri Lanka is estimated to do according to Thompson Reuters: Frontier Markets), they tend to overlook the risks that must be taken in order to invest in such a country. This blog post is here to gently remind readers why frontier markets are not yet a standard investing destination yet, and why they are considered a step below emerging markets.

Although somewhat unknown in everyday international business language, a new term is being coined by investors everywhere: Frontier Markets. Most of us have heard of emerging markets, which are known to be very promising markets where investments carry great potential, but are not quite as stable as in developed countries. There are many articles being published about this relatively new category of market investments.  But what are frontier markets? This week’s blog series will not only establish what they are, but also provide some insight into their implications on the future.